race that's what all the polling tells us, that's what we pick up anecdotally, why so much confidence? because of the organization that was built? those are computer models. that doesn't really involve, you know, real people and the emotions of people who decide to vote or not to vote on election day. >> well, i would say a couple things. first, if we look at our early vote numbers, i was in ohio yesterday for our second of three stops, you know, talking to our state director, they felt really great about where they were. they were telling the president how the republicans were bragging in ohio that they had spent sunday knocking on 75,000 doors, state director told the president that he knocked on 375,000 doors. so, yeah, we feel pretty good about our operation. we feel pretty good about our early vote. look, i think this race for all of the public polling has been remarkably steady for the last three or four weeks and the president has had a steady lead in almost all, if not all of these nine battleground states.